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    A Bright Future for Air Superiority: Evolving from the F-22 Raptor to the Next Generation Air Dominance

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    F-22 Raptor from Macdill Airfest 2022” by Photomatt28 is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 2.0

    In an era of rapid technological advancement and strategic agility, the United States Air Force (USAF) has initiated the retirement of the F-22 Raptor, an aircraft that previously symbolized air superiority.

    This decision, based on changing military requirements and financial practicality, highlights a broader pivot towards the future of aerial combat embodied by the Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) program.

    Since its inception, the Advanced Tactical Fighter (ATF) program, which gave rise to the F-22 Raptor, sought to replace aging F-16 Fighting Falcons and F-15 Eagles with a technological marvel capable of securing air dominance.

    Despite the F-22’s groundbreaking capabilities and its designation as a 5th generation fighter, the program has faced numerous challenges, culminating in its scheduled sunset by 2030.

    F-22 Raptor creates its own cloud camouflage” by San Diego Shooter is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 2.0

    The F-22’s journey began in 1997 with high aspirations, but geopolitics and fiscal realities soon imposed constraints.

    By the time the Raptor entered service in December 2005, the USAF’s operational focus had shifted towards counterinsurgency roles where the F-22’s advanced features were less critical.

    This shift, along with budget cuts in 2009, resulted in a truncated fleet of just 186 Raptors, far fewer than the originally planned 750.

    F-35 Lightning II completes Edwards testing” by MultiplyLeadership is licensed under CC BY 2.0

    The cancellation of the F-22 program in 2011 signaled a clear pivot towards the F-35 Lightning II, a more cost-effective platform.

    Despite a $11 billion investment in F-22 updates, the Raptor’s aging avionics and lack of modular design for system improvements made its longevity infeasible.

    F-22 Raptor” by matt.hintsa is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 2.0

    With the USAF’s announcement of the F-22’s retirement, attention has turned to NGAD, the sixth-generation jet poised to take the Raptor’s place.

    FILE PHOTO — The F-22 is an air-superiority fighter with improved capability over current Air Force aircraft. From the inception of the battle, the F-22’s primary objective will be to establish air superiority through the conduct of counter air operations. The F-22 also has an inherent air-to-surface capability. A combination of improved sensor capability, improved situational awareness, and improved weapons provides first-kill opportunity against the threat. (U.S. Air Force photo)

    Unlike the F-22, the NGAD promises over twice the range, new AESA radar systems, advanced stealth through tailless designs, adaptive cycle engines, and an arsenal featuring both kinetic and laser directed energy weapons—all of which represent significant advancements in military aviation technology.

    Red Flag (F-22 Raptor)” by joseluiscel (Aviapics) is licensed under CC BY-NC-SA 2.0

    The transition to NGAD is not merely about replacing one aircraft with another; it is a strategic realignment. As Lt. Gen. Richard Moore, deputy chief of staff for plans and programs for the Air Force, emphasized, the service must make difficult choices to focus on future combat readiness, and this includes divesting from aircraft that no longer meet the requisite combat standards, such as the F-22 Block 20 jets.

    The proposed retirement of 32 F-22s from the 2024 budget has been met with some resistance. While some argue the potential utility of these aircraft, the cost and time required to upgrade them—estimated at $3.5 billion and a decade of work—do not justify the investment, especially when considering the impending arrival of NGAD.

    Lockheed Martin F-22 ‘Raptor’s’” by aeroman3 is licensed under CC PDM 1.0

    The divestment of the F-22s also reflects a concern for fiscal responsibility, with the USAF planning to reallocate the savings, roughly $485 million annually, to the NGAD program. As the F-22s face their ultimate fate—some becoming training aircraft, others museum pieces, and the rest stored at the Davis-Monthan Air Force Base’s “Boneyard” in Arizona—the Air Force is decisively steering resources towards NGAD in a bid to maintain its edge in the air.

    F-22 Raptor 011” by AirmanMagazine is licensed under CC BY-NC 2.0

    The NGAD’s development timeline remains on track, with the Air Force expecting to award the program contract in 2024 and to begin production by the decade’s end. In the shadow of the Raptor’s retirement, the NGAD program, albeit shrouded in secrecy, signals the Air Force’s commitment to innovating for the future. With potential competitors like Lockheed Martin and Boeing, the NGAD is set to redefine air dominance with an eye keenly fixed on the challenges that lie ahead.

    Relevant articles:
    Why Was The F-22 Fighter Jet Program Cancelled?, simpleflying.com
    New NGAD Fighter Will Be Bigger, Stealthier and Double the Range of the F-22, nextbigfuture.com
    What Happens to the Air Force’s Oldest F-22s if Congress OKs Their Retirement?, Air & Space Forces Magazine
    F-22s Marked for Retirement Will Never Be Combat Worthy, General Says, Defense One, Apr 6, 2023

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