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    Balancing Act: Putin’s Ambitions and the Power of Collective Defense in the Baltic Region

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    Jarosław Stróżyk proposed that Putin presently possesses the ability to commence a restricted incursion.

    But he is abstaining from taking such action due to the response from the Western nations regarding the ongoing situation in Ukraine.

    “Putin is certainly already prepared for some mini-operation against one of the Baltic countries, for example, to enter the famous Narva [municipality in Estonia] or to land on one of the Swedish islands,” Mr Stróżyk told Polish paper Dziennik Gazeta Prawna.

    He added: “What the West is doing together to support Ukraine shows him that in the event of an attack on Nato, the Western response would be even greater.”

    He said his predictions over a potential attack are only based on a few presumptions from agencies but Russia is capable of making such a move.

    The significance of these claims is magnified by Poland’s willingness to host nuclear weapons as part of NATO’s strategic deterrence, as affirmed by Polish President Andrzej Duda.

    Amidst the militarization of Kaliningrad and the relocation of Russian nuclear assets to Belarus, Duda asserts Poland’s preparedness to bolster NATO’s eastern flank should allies opt to deploy nuclear arms on its territory.

    Yet, it is the unified Western support for Ukraine amidst its struggle against the Russian invasion that serves as a potential bulwark against Putin’s machinations.

    “What the West is doing together to support Ukraine shows him that in the event of an attack on NATO, the Western response would be even greater,” Stróżyk elucidated.

    The inference is clear: any aggression towards NATO members would summon a formidable and potentially escalated collective response.

    While Russia’s military might have been partially depleted by its engagement in Ukraine.

    The Kremlin’s apparent regenerative efforts along NATO borders, paired with maneuvers in covert and hybrid operations, have not gone unnoticed.

    These preparations are coupled with a recalibration of NATO’s arsenals, previously worn thin by protracted, low-intensity conflicts.

    Internationally, Russia’s stance remains defiant.

    At his inauguration, Putin voiced a willingness to be an “honest” partner, seeking dialogues with Western countries provided they do not stifle Russia’s development or exert undue pressure.

    Relevant articles:
    Putin is ready to launch invasion of Nato nations to test West, warns Polish spy boss, lbc.co.uk, 05/08/2024
    Russia Ready To Launch Offensive on NATO Country, Poland Warns, Newsweek, 05/08/2024
    Polish intelligence chief: Putin ready for mini-operation against NATO, Ukrainian World Congress, 05/08/2024
    Vladimir Putin ‘ready to invade’ as NATO spy chief warns of ‘mini-operation’, Irish Star, 05/08/2024
    invasion against NATO nations’ to test Western leaders, The Mirror, 05/08/2024

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