The unveiling of Russia’s Sukhoi Su-75 “Checkmate” stealth fighter at MAKS 2021 Air Show was met with fanfare and expectations that it would offer a cost-effective yet technologically advanced alternative in the international arms market.

Positioned competitively with a price tag between $25 million to $30 million per unit, this fifth-generation stealth fighter, complete with advanced avionics and radar-evading features, seemed poised to challenge the likes of the F-35 Lightning II.

Despite these promising attributes, the Su-75 has been met with skepticism and reluctance from potential international partners, including the UAE and India. The fighter jet’s fate is emblematic of a broader trend of waning Russian arms exports, which has seen a significant decline as a result of geopolitical dynamics and sanctions related to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.

Experts and analysts have pointed out that in addition to the geopolitical strains, practical issues such as the ability of the Russian defense industry to produce the aircraft are increasingly coming to the fore. Sanctions have severely impacted Russia’s access to essential components like semiconductors, which are crucial for the computers that control modern aircraft.

The design of the Su-75, characterized by its internal weapons bay, diverterless inlet, and V-shaped “ruddervators,” is theoretically geared to decrease its radar cross-section and enhance maneuverability at high altitudes.

However, despite the intriguing engineering features and a single Izdeliye 30 engine promising top speeds around Mach 1.8, the Su-75 has yet to secure its place in the skies or the market.

“Despite its high-profile unveiling…Russia’s Su-75 Checkmate stealth fighter is facing headwinds in attracting international partners and competing in the global defense market,” reported Army Recognition.

The allure of the Su-75’s lower operational costs and potential for exceptional combat performance has been overshadowed by Russia’s diminishing reputation as a reliable arms supplier, further complicated by its military engagements and challenges in Ukraine.

The Kremlin’s history of hyperbolic claims about its defense projects has also added to the skepticism surrounding the Su-75. Past experiences with platforms such as the T-14 Armata tank and the Su-57 Felon fighter have tempered expectations, as these systems have either not been deployed in combat or have underperformed relative to their advertised capabilities.

In terms of design and production, the Su-75 represents a bold step in Russian aerospace ambitions, with claims that it is the first aircraft fully designed on supercomputers, promising faster and more cost-effective development. However, the lack of a prototype and postponed timelines raise questions about its viability.

The current geopolitical climate further complicates the prospect of international collaboration on the Su-75 project. Air Marshal Anil Khosla (retired), a former Vice Chief of the Indian Air Force (IAF), has emphasized the need for a “cost-benefit analysis” before any commitment to joint development, considering India’s push towards self-reliance in defense with projects like the indigenous AMCA (Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft).

The performance of Russian aircraft in the ongoing conflict with Ukraine has been closely scrutinized by military experts worldwide, including those in India. This scrutiny is particularly relevant as a significant portion of the IAF’s inventory is of Russian origin. Observations of these aircraft’s efficacy in combat scenarios are undoubtedly influencing procurement decisions and potential partnerships.

Russia’s aspiration to project sales of 300 Su-75 units over 15 years now seems to align more with hope than expectation, as it grapples with the repercussions of its own actions on the global stage.

With the Su-75 still several years away from fruition and lacking both a flying prototype and firm international orders, the narrative around the aircraft is shifting from potential “Checkmate” to the less flattering label of ‘vaporware’ by some Western media.

As the defense industry rapidly evolves with new technologies and shifting alliances, the Su-75’s journey from blueprint to battlefield—if it ever makes it that far—will be a test not only of Russian innovation and resilience but also of the international community’s willingness to bet on an underdog in an increasingly competitive arms market.

Relevant articles:
– Russia’s Su-75 Checkmate: The Stealth Fighter No Air Force Wants, The National Interest
– Russia’s Su-75 Checkmate Stealth Fighter Nightmare Won’t Seem to End, The National Interest
– Inside The Su-75 Checkmate: What To Expect From This Advanced Fighter Jet, Simple Flying
– Su-75: Russia “Checkmates” India’s Hesitation To Join Stealth Fighter Program; Rostec To Slash Costs ‘As Per Feedback’, EurAsian Times